Company dossiers
Business drivers, financial diagnostics, risks, peers, filings, and ticker-level replay evidence.
Open dossiersEvidence-backed U.S. equity research
Stock Dossier Lab
A public audit trail for stock-screening ideas: what the model observed, what happened next, and which hypotheses did not survive the benchmark.
52,777 replay rows120 signal dates483 observed tickersQQQ + SPY benchmarks
The honest finding
Positive raw returns are not the same as repeatable alpha.
The latest V4.67.1 controlled replay found that later holding windows often produced positive average returns, while the broad experiments still lagged QQQ on average. The lab publishes that gap instead of hiding it.
See assumptions and limitationsSignal density increased. Benchmark-beating evidence did not.
V4.67.1 historical sample produced 19,788 observations versus 3,881 under strict experiment A. More candidates improved research coverage, not proven edge.
Model audit snapshot
Five holding windows, two ways to read every result
Raw return answers what happened to the stock. Excess return asks whether the screen added value over simply holding QQQ.
Strict rawStrict excess vs QQQExpanded raw
Research paths
Move from discovery to falsification
Each path has a different job. A dossier explains the business question; the lifecycle tracks visibility; the audit tests outcomes.
Signal lifecycle
Early discovery, promotion, visible leadership, overheat, and retirement as separate research states.
Review statesResearch Lab
Case notes on opening-range behavior, VWAP acceptance, sector context, and failed assumptions.
Read Lab notesEvidence lookup
Search a ticker to inspect observation count and forward outcomes from the expanded replay.
Open lookupField notes
Research built from repeated observation
These notes document the methods that changed after the market contradicted the first idea.
How the Stock Dossier Lab Research Process Works
A field guide to the research lab process: company context, filing review, intraday confirmation, and post-session review.
Read the evidence noteWhy a Strong Watchlist Name Is Not Automatically a Green Light
A practical explanation of why strong-looking visible candidates often need caution, confirmation, or even a cooling period.
Read the evidence noteThe First 30-Minute Low Test in Stock Watchlist Reviews
How the opening range helps separate a constructive candidate from a name that only looked good before the session started.
Read the evidence noteVWAP Acceptance as a Market Observation Tool
Why VWAP behavior is useful for research notes, especially when combined with sector context and opening-range behavior.
Read the evidence notePullback Quality and Entry Comfort in a Watchlist
A framework for judging whether a pullback creates a cleaner review point or simply reveals that the candidate is losing sponsorship.
Read the evidence noteCandidate Lifecycle: From Early Watch to Visible Leader
How a ticker can move from an early watchlist layer to a highly visible candidate, and why each stage needs different handling.
Read the evidence noteCompany library
Start with the business, then inspect the signal record
Every legacy company URL is preserved and expanded with a sector-specific diagnostic framework.
Apple Inc.
Consumer devices, services, and ecosystem economics.
Information Technology
Open research dossierMicrosoft Corporation
Cloud infrastructure, productivity software, and enterprise ai.
Information Technology
Open research dossierNVIDIA Corporation
Accelerated computing, gpus, and ai infrastructure.
Information Technology
Open research dossierAmazon.com, Inc.
E-commerce, cloud computing, logistics, and advertising.
Consumer Discretionary
Open research dossierAlphabet Inc. Class A
Search, ads, cloud, youtube, and ai platforms.
Communication Services
Open research dossierMeta Platforms, Inc.
Social networks, advertising, messaging, and immersive platforms.
Communication Services
Open research dossierTesla, Inc.
Electric vehicles, energy storage, and autonomy efforts.
Consumer Discretionary
Open research dossierBerkshire Hathaway Inc.
Insurance, public equities, industrial subsidiaries, and cash allocation.
Financials
Open research dossierBroadcom Inc.
Semiconductors, networking chips, and infrastructure software.
Information Technology
Open research dossier